Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Moss | 39 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Z. Buljan | 38 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 7 | - |
| E. Ruzgas | 38 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Mitchem | 29 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Cerina | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Butler | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Hill | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| G. Green | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 35 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. White | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Tapley | 31 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Leonard | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Shelley | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter