Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +8 (71-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. White | 32 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| K. Leonard | 31 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelley | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 26 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Tapley | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Horton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 35 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Ford | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| L. Neufville | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Willard | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Nunnally | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Eveland | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| N. Williams | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Huddleston | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Young | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter