Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +22 (70-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Washington | 34 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| G. Parker | 28 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| M. Lyons | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Merriex | 24 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Fow | 20 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. McLain | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. El-Amin | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Brooks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard | 34 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 34 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| B. White | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 22 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C. Tapley | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelley | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter