🐻⬇️🏀

UNLV Rebels 58
@
San Diego State Aztecs 68
2010-02-13

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Margin 30.8% 69.2% +4.4 ✓ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.1% 63.9% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 38 5-15 1-5 6-8 3 5 1 0 3 17 8 -
O. Bellfield 32 2-9 2-7 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 6 3 -
C. Stanback 29 0-7 0-3 4-4 4 2 1 1 3 4 2 -
A. Marshall 28 3-4 0-0 6-8 2 0 3 1 3 12 11 -
M. Shaw 22 3-6 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 1 2 7 7 -
K. Wallace 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Santee 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
B. Massamba 11 3-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
J. Hawkins 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Jones Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Leonard 35 6-10 1-3 0-2 14 1 0 0 2 13 16 -
D.J. Gay 34 1-7 1-2 8-10 3 3 0 0 2 11 8 -
B. White 33 5-10 0-2 9-11 5 2 1 2 4 19 15 -
M. Thomas 31 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 4 4 4 0 4 17 -
C. Tapley 28 4-7 1-1 2-4 5 1 3 1 4 11 10 -
T. Shelley 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 2 3 -
K. Davis 14 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
B. Carlwell 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 1 2 2 3 -

* = starter