Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 33 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 0 | - |
| K. Leonard | 31 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Shelley | 29 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. White | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Tapley | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Davis | 11 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Serna | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| W. Brew | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Powell | 23 | 7-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| S. Phippen | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Joyner | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Brew | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Nunnally | 17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Devenny | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Roemer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Weiner | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter