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Indiana Pacers

Also known as: Indiana Pacers
Program History

2020 Team Stats (24 games)

111.9
PPG
109.0
Opp
+2.8
Margin
49.0%
FG%
36.0%
3P%
79.2%
FT%
42.4
RPG
26.0
APG
-
TO
-
Est. poss./game
108.4
Adj PPG
107.0
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 986 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1066 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2 elo More โ†’ 1005 (#9) HCA +2 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ +1.4 (#13) HCA +2.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.1 More โ†’ +1.4 (#12) HCA +1.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.535 (#11) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.0 More โ†’ 0.420 (#23) NetEff -3.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.536 (#13) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.536 (#13) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 108.4 | AdjD 107.0 More โ†’ 0.531 (#13) AdjO 108.4 | AdjD 107.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 109.3 | AdjD 109.6 More โ†’ 0.491 (#13) AdjO 109.3 | AdjD 109.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.520 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.512 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 228 | GP 77 More โ†’ 1034 (#11) RD 228 | GP 77

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-23 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2019-10-27 @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2019-10-28 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2019-10-30 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2019-11-01 vs Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2019-11-03 vs Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2019-11-06 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2019-11-07 vs Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2019-11-09 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2019-11-10 @ Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2019-11-13 vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2019-11-16 @ Houston Rockets - Incomplete score
2019-11-17 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2019-11-19 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2019-11-24 vs Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2019-11-26 vs Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2019-11-28 vs Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2019-11-30 vs Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2019-12-01 @ Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2019-12-03 @ Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2019-12-04 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 107 - 100
2019-12-06 @ Detroit Pistons L 101 - 108
2019-12-08 @ New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2019-12-10 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2019-12-12 vs Boston Celtics - Incomplete score
2019-12-14 @ Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2019-12-15 vs Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2019-12-18 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2019-12-21 vs Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2019-12-23 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2019-12-24 vs Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2019-12-28 @ Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2019-12-29 @ New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2019-12-31 vs Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2020-01-03 vs Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2020-01-05 @ Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2020-01-07 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2020-01-09 vs Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2020-01-11 @ Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2020-01-14 vs Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2020-01-16 @ Minnesota Timberwolves - Incomplete score
2020-01-17 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 116 - 114
2020-01-20 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2020-01-21 @ Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2020-01-23 @ Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2020-01-24 @ Golden State Warriors W 129 - 118
2020-01-26 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 129 - 139
2020-01-29 vs Chicago Bulls W 115 - 106
2020-02-01 vs New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2020-02-03 vs Dallas Mavericks L 103 - 112
2020-02-05 @ Toronto Raptors L 118 - 119
2020-02-07 vs Toronto Raptors L 106 - 115
2020-02-08 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 117 - 124
2020-02-10 vs Brooklyn Nets L 105 - 106
2020-02-12 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 118 - 111
2020-02-21 @ New York Knicks W 106 - 98
2020-02-23 @ Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2020-02-25 vs Charlotte Hornets W 119 - 80
2020-02-27 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 106 - 100
2020-03-01 @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2020-03-03 @ San Antonio Spurs - Incomplete score
2020-03-05 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2020-03-06 @ Chicago Bulls W 108 - 102
2020-03-08 @ Dallas Mavericks - Incomplete score
2020-03-10 vs Boston Celtics - Incomplete score
2020-08-01 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 127 - 121
2020-08-03 @ Washington Wizards W 111 - 100
2020-08-04 vs Orlando Magic W 120 - 109
2020-08-06 @ Phoenix Suns L 99 - 114
2020-08-08 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 116 - 111
2020-08-10 @ Miami Heat L 92 - 114
2020-08-12 @ Houston Rockets W 108 - 104
2020-08-14 vs Miami Heat W 109 - 92

2020 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T.J. Warren T.J. Warren F 18 34.8 26.3 4.8 1.7 1.5 0.7 - 17.8 - 146 36 4.1 486.7 60.0 48.7 82.5 0.06 68.0 65.8
Domantas Sabonis Domantas Sabonis F 16 34.9 19.0 11.4 6.1 0.8 0.4 - 13.2 - 180 33 5.5 600.0 55.9 20.0 74.4 0.06 61.1 56.9
Malcolm Brogdon Malcolm Brogdon G 19 32.7 16.1 5.9 6.7 0.5 0.3 - 13.7 - - - - - 43.3 35.9 80.7 - 53.3 49.6
Jeremy Lamb Jeremy Lamb G 13 29.1 13.7 4.2 1.9 1.3 0.4 - 10.2 - - - - - 51.9 37.8 76.7 - 60.9 58.3
Victor Oladipo Victor Oladipo G 15 28.1 13.7 3.9 2.9 0.8 0.1 - 12.2 - - - - - 39.9 30.1 79.5 - 50.9 46.7
Myles Turner Myles Turner C 21 29.2 11.2 6.9 1.3 0.7 2.2 - 8.9 - 161 29 5.6 536.7 43.5 32.4 78.5 0.06 54.8 49.5
Doug McDermott Doug McDermott - 22 18.5 11.0 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 - 8.2 - 159 35 4.5 530.0 50.8 40.6 90.5 0.06 63.6 61.6
Aaron Holiday Aaron Holiday G 20 24.9 8.6 2.3 3.0 0.8 0.3 - 7.0 - - - - - 44.7 42.0 86.2 - 55.9 52.1
Justin Holiday Justin Holiday F 24 25.7 8.3 3.5 1.3 1.3 0.7 - 6.6 - - - - - 42.4 37.2 92.0 - 58.9 55.7
T.J. McConnell T.J. McConnell G 24 18.2 6.2 2.7 4.5 0.9 0.2 - 5.6 - - - - - 51.1 16.7 91.7 - 53.5 51.5
JaKarr Sampson JaKarr Sampson F 13 15.9 6.1 3.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 - 4.2 - - - - - 60.0 0.0 86.7 - 64.1 60.0
Edmond Sumner Edmond Sumner G 10 14.9 5.6 1.6 2.2 0.2 0.2 - 4.8 - - - - - 45.8 26.1 42.9 - 51.7 52.1
T.J. Leaf T.J. Leaf - 4 8.2 4.0 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 - 4.8 - 66 20 3.3 220.0 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.06 38.5 42.1
Alize Johnson Alize Johnson F 4 16.0 4.0 7.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 - 3.5 - - - - - 35.7 37.5 75.0 - 50.8 46.4
Goga Bitadze Goga Bitadze - 15 8.7 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.7 - 3.1 - - - - - 45.7 20.0 83.3 - 51.4 48.9
Brian Bowen II F 3 7.1 1.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 2.0 - - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Naz Mitrou-Long - 2 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 - 0.5 - - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2019-2020 Shot Zones

6447 located field-goal attempts in 73 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sabonis23% Warren25% Warren27% Sabonis25% Brogdon22% Warren29% Holiday35% Holiday19% McDermott28% Brogdon20%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Sabonis21% Warren18% Warren26% Sabonis18% McConnell21% Holiday25% Holiday29% McDermott13% McDermott22% Brogdon17%
Misses: who misses most here

T.J. WarrenDomantas SabonisMalcolm BrogdonDoug McDermottJustin HolidayT.J. McConnell

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 1352-2160 62.6 2704 Domantas Sabonis 23% (630 pts) T.J. Warren 16% (442 pts) Domantas Sabonis 21% (171 misses) Malcolm Brogdon 16% (130 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 447-979 45.7 894 T.J. Warren 25% (222 pts) T.J. McConnell 15% (132 pts) T.J. Warren 18% (95 misses) Domantas Sabonis 17% (91 misses)
Mid-range left 188-448 42.0 376 T.J. Warren 27% (102 pts) Jeremy Lamb 18% (68 pts) T.J. Warren 26% (68 misses) Jeremy Lamb 14% (37 misses)
Mid-range center 134-329 40.7 268 Domantas Sabonis 25% (68 pts) T.J. Warren 19% (50 pts) Domantas Sabonis 18% (35 misses) T.J. Warren 16% (31 misses)
Mid-range right 211-495 42.6 422 Malcolm Brogdon 22% (94 pts) T.J. McConnell 18% (74 pts) T.J. McConnell 21% (61 misses) T.J. Warren 18% (51 misses)
Left corner 3 104-282 36.9 312 T.J. Warren 29% (90 pts) Doug McDermott 25% (78 pts) Justin Holiday 25% (45 misses) T.J. Warren 21% (38 misses)
Right corner 3 91-210 43.3 273 Justin Holiday 35% (96 pts) Aaron Holiday 11% (30 pts) Justin Holiday 29% (34 misses) T.J. Warren 14% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 left 232-577 40.2 696 Justin Holiday 19% (129 pts) Doug McDermott 17% (117 pts) Doug McDermott 13% (45 misses) Justin Holiday 12% (43 misses)
Above-break 3 center 170-488 34.8 510 Doug McDermott 28% (144 pts) Myles Turner 19% (96 pts) Doug McDermott 22% (71 misses) Myles Turner 16% (50 misses)
Above-break 3 right 146-479 30.5 438 Malcolm Brogdon 20% (87 pts) Aaron Holiday 17% (75 pts) Malcolm Brogdon 17% (58 misses) Aaron Holiday 14% (45 misses)