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Indiana Pacers

Also known as: Indiana Pacers
Program History

2020 Team Stats (30 games)

110.6
PPG
110.0
Opp
+0.6
Margin
48.5%
FG%
35.7%
3P%
79.0%
FT%
42.1
RPG
25.6
APG
-
TO
-
Est. poss./game
108.4
Adj PPG
107.0
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 986 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1066 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2 elo More โ†’ 1005 (#9) HCA +2 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ +1.4 (#13) HCA +2.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.1 More โ†’ +1.4 (#12) HCA +1.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.535 (#11) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.0 More โ†’ 0.420 (#23) NetEff -3.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.536 (#13) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.536 (#13) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 108.4 | AdjD 107.0 More โ†’ 0.531 (#13) AdjO 108.4 | AdjD 107.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 109.3 | AdjD 109.6 More โ†’ 0.491 (#13) AdjO 109.3 | AdjD 109.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.520 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.512 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 228 | GP 77 More โ†’ 1034 (#11) RD 228 | GP 77

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-10-23 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2019-10-27 @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2019-10-28 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2019-10-30 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2019-11-01 vs Cleveland Cavaliers - Incomplete score
2019-11-03 vs Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2019-11-06 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2019-11-07 vs Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2019-11-09 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2019-11-10 @ Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2019-11-13 vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2019-11-16 @ Houston Rockets - Incomplete score
2019-11-17 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2019-11-19 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2019-11-24 vs Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2019-11-26 vs Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2019-11-28 vs Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2019-11-30 vs Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2019-12-01 @ Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2019-12-03 @ Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2019-12-04 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 107 - 100
2019-12-06 @ Detroit Pistons L 101 - 108
2019-12-08 @ New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2019-12-10 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2019-12-12 vs Boston Celtics - Incomplete score
2019-12-14 @ Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2019-12-15 vs Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2019-12-18 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2019-12-21 vs Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2019-12-23 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2019-12-24 vs Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2019-12-28 @ Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2019-12-29 @ New Orleans Pelicans - Incomplete score
2019-12-31 vs Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2020-01-03 vs Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2020-01-05 @ Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2020-01-07 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2020-01-09 vs Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2020-01-11 @ Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2020-01-14 vs Philadelphia 76ers - Incomplete score
2020-01-16 @ Minnesota Timberwolves - Incomplete score
2020-01-17 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 116 - 114
2020-01-20 @ Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2020-01-21 @ Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2020-01-23 @ Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2020-01-24 @ Golden State Warriors W 129 - 118
2020-01-26 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 129 - 139
2020-01-29 vs Chicago Bulls W 115 - 106
2020-02-01 vs New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2020-02-03 vs Dallas Mavericks L 103 - 112
2020-02-05 @ Toronto Raptors L 118 - 119
2020-02-07 vs Toronto Raptors L 106 - 115
2020-02-08 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 117 - 124
2020-02-10 vs Brooklyn Nets L 105 - 106
2020-02-12 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 118 - 111
2020-02-21 @ New York Knicks W 106 - 98
2020-02-23 @ Toronto Raptors L 81 - 127
2020-02-25 vs Charlotte Hornets W 119 - 80
2020-02-27 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 106 - 100
2020-02-29 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 113 - 104
2020-03-02 @ San Antonio Spurs W 116 - 111
2020-03-04 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 100 - 119
2020-03-06 @ Chicago Bulls W 108 - 102
2020-03-08 @ Dallas Mavericks W 112 - 109
2020-03-10 vs Boston Celtics L 111 - 114
2020-08-01 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 127 - 121
2020-08-03 @ Washington Wizards W 111 - 100
2020-08-04 vs Orlando Magic W 120 - 109
2020-08-06 @ Phoenix Suns L 99 - 114
2020-08-08 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 116 - 111
2020-08-10 @ Miami Heat L 92 - 114
2020-08-12 @ Houston Rockets W 108 - 104
2020-08-14 vs Miami Heat W 109 - 92
2020-08-18 vs Miami Heat L 101 - 113
2020-08-20 vs Miami Heat L 100 - 109
2020-08-22 @ Miami Heat L 115 - 124
2020-08-24 @ Miami Heat L 87 - 99

2020 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T.J. Warren T.J. Warren F 24 34.6 24.5 5.0 1.8 1.2 0.6 - 17.3 - 36 33 1.1 1.4 58.1 45.5 83.8 0.09 65.8 63.5
Domantas Sabonis Domantas Sabonis F 22 35.7 18.8 11.5 6.2 0.8 0.4 - 13.8 - 140 32 4.4 5.2 53.8 23.1 73.0 1.75 58.7 54.8
Malcolm Brogdon Malcolm Brogdon G 23 31.9 15.9 5.5 6.5 0.6 0.2 - 13.5 - 48 21 2.3 3.2 43.9 34.0 83.1 0.71 53.6 49.5
Victor Oladipo Victor Oladipo G 18 28.1 14.9 4.1 3.1 0.9 0.2 - 12.9 - - - - - 40.9 32.0 80.7 - 52.1 47.8
Jeremy Lamb Jeremy Lamb G 14 27.6 13.1 3.9 1.9 1.3 0.4 - 9.9 - 32 27 1.2 1.7 50.4 37.0 78.8 -0.09 59.6 56.5
Myles Turner Myles Turner C 27 29.9 11.4 7.1 1.1 0.8 2.4 - 9.0 - 60 31 1.9 2.7 45.1 31.5 77.6 0.64 55.5 51.0
Doug McDermott Doug McDermott - 26 18.2 11.1 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 - 8.0 - 86 33 2.6 5.0 52.7 43.8 91.7 0.34 66.4 64.5
Justin Holiday Justin Holiday F 30 24.7 8.3 3.1 1.1 1.5 0.7 - 6.6 - 33 33 1.0 1.6 43.4 39.0 85.2 -0.47 59.6 57.3
Aaron Holiday Aaron Holiday G 26 25.8 8.1 2.3 3.0 0.8 0.3 - 7.1 - 72 33 2.2 3.6 42.2 37.7 82.9 0.67 52.6 49.2
T.J. McConnell T.J. McConnell G 30 17.8 6.0 2.5 4.3 0.9 0.1 - 5.7 - 24 31 0.8 1.5 49.1 14.3 92.3 -0.75 51.2 49.4
Edmond Sumner Edmond Sumner G 14 14.5 5.1 1.5 2.0 0.3 0.2 - 4.9 - -17 15 -1.1 -3.4 42.6 20.0 50.0 -0.72 48.0 47.1
JaKarr Sampson JaKarr Sampson F 18 14.4 4.9 2.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 - 3.6 - -8 9 -0.9 -4.0 56.2 0.0 84.2 -0.37 60.8 56.2
Goga Bitadze Goga Bitadze - 19 8.0 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 - 3.1 - -19 28 -0.7 -3.7 46.6 19.0 83.3 -1.1 51.9 50.0
T.J. Leaf T.J. Leaf - 6 7.0 2.8 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 - 3.3 - -12 15 -0.8 -5.6 40.0 0.0 16.7 -0.39 37.5 40.0
Alize Johnson Alize Johnson F 6 12.0 2.7 5.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 - 2.5 - 9 9 1.0 12.9 33.3 37.5 75.0 0.04 47.7 43.3
Brian Bowen II F 3 7.1 1.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 2.0 - - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 -0.09 33.3 33.3
Naz Mitrou-Long - 2 2.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 - 0.5 - - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 0.11 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2019-2020 Shot Zones

6447 located field-goal attempts in 73 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sabonis23% Warren25% Warren27% Sabonis25% Brogdon22% Warren29% Holiday35% Holiday19% McDermott28% Brogdon20%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Sabonis21% Warren18% Warren26% Sabonis18% McConnell21% Holiday25% Holiday29% McDermott13% McDermott22% Brogdon17%
Misses: who misses most here

T.J. WarrenDomantas SabonisMalcolm BrogdonDoug McDermottJustin HolidayT.J. McConnell

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 1352-2160 62.6 2704 Domantas Sabonis 23% (630 pts) T.J. Warren 16% (442 pts) Domantas Sabonis 21% (171 misses) Malcolm Brogdon 16% (130 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 447-979 45.7 894 T.J. Warren 25% (222 pts) T.J. McConnell 15% (132 pts) T.J. Warren 18% (95 misses) Domantas Sabonis 17% (91 misses)
Mid-range left 188-448 42.0 376 T.J. Warren 27% (102 pts) Jeremy Lamb 18% (68 pts) T.J. Warren 26% (68 misses) Jeremy Lamb 14% (37 misses)
Mid-range center 134-329 40.7 268 Domantas Sabonis 25% (68 pts) T.J. Warren 19% (50 pts) Domantas Sabonis 18% (35 misses) T.J. Warren 16% (31 misses)
Mid-range right 211-495 42.6 422 Malcolm Brogdon 22% (94 pts) T.J. McConnell 18% (74 pts) T.J. McConnell 21% (61 misses) T.J. Warren 18% (51 misses)
Left corner 3 104-282 36.9 312 T.J. Warren 29% (90 pts) Doug McDermott 25% (78 pts) Justin Holiday 25% (45 misses) T.J. Warren 21% (38 misses)
Right corner 3 91-210 43.3 273 Justin Holiday 35% (96 pts) Aaron Holiday 11% (30 pts) Justin Holiday 29% (34 misses) T.J. Warren 14% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 left 232-577 40.2 696 Justin Holiday 19% (129 pts) Doug McDermott 17% (117 pts) Doug McDermott 13% (45 misses) Justin Holiday 12% (43 misses)
Above-break 3 center 170-488 34.8 510 Doug McDermott 28% (144 pts) Myles Turner 19% (96 pts) Doug McDermott 22% (71 misses) Myles Turner 16% (50 misses)
Above-break 3 right 146-479 30.5 438 Malcolm Brogdon 20% (87 pts) Aaron Holiday 17% (75 pts) Malcolm Brogdon 17% (58 misses) Aaron Holiday 14% (45 misses)