Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (116-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Culver * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 34 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 34 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Shabazz Napier * | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 28 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 24 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Warren * | 33 | 11-18 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 23 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter