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2020-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% -
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 (34.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Log Adjusted 20.5% 79.5% -
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +39 (119-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Monk * 26 4-13 0-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 8 - -
Terry Rozier * 26 2-13 1-4 0-0 3 7 0 0 5 - -
Miles Bridges * 25 7-16 2-6 1-1 6 1 1 0 17 - -
P.J. Washington * 25 3-9 3-6 0-2 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Cody Zeller * 23 4-9 0-1 1-4 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Cody Martin 29 3-12 0-4 3-5 6 3 2 0 9 - -
Caleb Martin 26 4-10 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 11 - -
Jalen McDaniels 19 1-5 1-3 1-2 5 0 2 0 4 - -
Joe Chealey 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 3 0 0 - -
Bismack Biyombo 12 1-1 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Willy Hernangomez 9 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 31 8-10 1-1 4-5 15 9 0 0 21 - -
Aaron Holiday * 29 3-7 1-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Myles Turner * 27 2-9 2-4 0-0 10 2 2 8 6 - -
T.J. Warren * 27 9-12 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 19 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 24 6-8 2-3 1-2 6 7 0 0 15 - -
Justin Holiday 23 6-12 2-7 2-2 3 3 2 1 16 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 - -
JaKarr Sampson 19 5-7 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 10 - -
Doug McDermott 15 5-12 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 10 - -
Goga Bitadze 11 1-3 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 1 5 - -
Brian Bowen II 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
T.J. Leaf 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter