Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | β (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | β |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -9 (103-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 36 | 10-20 | 6-13 | 12-12 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 24 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 19 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 31 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 23 | 4-17 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 20 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter