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2020-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -
Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% -
Log Adjusted 58.1% 41.9% -
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +10 (139-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 41 11-17 0-2 5-6 14 11 0 1 27 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 33 10-15 2-3 6-6 2 1 2 1 28 - -
T.J. Warren * 29 5-13 0-2 4-4 2 4 0 0 14 - -
T.J. McConnell * 27 3-10 0-0 1-1 3 8 1 0 7 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 17 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 29 6-11 6-8 1-1 1 1 0 0 19 - -
Aaron Holiday 26 7-11 3-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 17 - -
Justin Holiday 21 4-9 2-6 1-1 4 1 2 0 11 - -
Edmond Sumner 7 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Goga Bitadze 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 38 14-23 8-12 14-16 6 13 1 0 50 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 35 9-11 0-0 3-5 14 1 0 6 21 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 11-21 6-9 0-0 1 5 0 0 28 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 33 5-12 2-3 2-2 8 2 0 0 14 - -
Trevor Ariza * 31 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 1 6 - -
Anfernee Simons 14 1-5 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Caleb Swanigan 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 4 - -
Nassir Little 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter