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2020-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (115-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 44 7-23 1-11 5-6 4 9 1 0 20 - -
Thaddeus Young * 35 7-11 1-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 16 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 35 5-8 1-3 0-0 4 4 2 0 11 - -
Luke Kornet * 20 3-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Kris Dunn * 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 6 - -
Cristiano Felicio 29 4-5 0-0 3-5 8 1 0 0 11 - -
Chandler Hutchison 27 10-14 0-3 1-2 3 2 1 1 21 - -
Denzel Valentine 21 2-9 0-5 0-0 2 2 4 0 4 - -
Coby White 19 3-6 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 41 10-15 2-3 3-4 4 1 2 0 25 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 5-12 0-1 5-8 11 5 0 0 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 35 7-11 1-4 0-2 8 9 3 0 15 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 32 5-11 0-3 0-0 5 0 2 0 10 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 19 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Justin Holiday 28 4-6 3-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 13 - -
Victor Oladipo 20 2-8 1-7 4-4 2 4 0 0 9 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 - -
Doug McDermott 16 3-8 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Goga Bitadze 15 5-9 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 10 - -

* = starter