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2019-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% - βœ—
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 βœ— (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - βœ—
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 46.7% 53.3% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% - βœ—

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 35 9-15 1-3 5-6 4 1 0 0 24 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 7-13 0-2 3-4 13 2 2 0 17 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 31 4-13 2-4 1-2 4 6 1 0 11 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 31 6-11 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 13 - -
Myles Turner * 26 4-7 1-3 3-3 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Justin Holiday 28 5-9 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Doug McDermott 18 5-9 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 14 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 8 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 36 7-19 1-7 1-1 3 3 1 0 16 - -
Chris Paul * 33 2-9 0-2 0-0 3 10 0 0 4 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 31 7-13 4-6 0-0 7 2 0 0 18 - -
Terrance Ferguson * 31 3-7 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Steven Adams * 28 8-8 0-0 4-4 9 3 0 2 20 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 23 8-17 1-2 1-1 4 1 0 1 18 - -
Nerlens Noel 19 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 1 8 - -
Abdel Nader 16 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Darius Bazley 11 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 - -
Deonte Burton 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter