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2020-08-12

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 42.2% 57.8% +1.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% -
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -4 (104-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Oladipo * 37 7-26 2-12 0-0 6 5 1 1 16 - -
Justin Holiday * 28 6-10 4-8 2-2 6 1 2 1 18 - -
Myles Turner * 27 5-14 0-0 8-10 12 2 1 1 18 - -
Aaron Holiday * 25 1-11 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 16 3-3 0-0 3-3 5 0 2 0 9 - -
Edmond Sumner 24 6-11 2-3 3-6 4 4 0 1 17 - -
Doug McDermott 24 6-7 3-3 1-1 2 4 1 1 16 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 3-9 0-1 0-0 7 7 2 0 6 - -
Alize Johnson 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 8 0 3 1 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 4 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 35 3-8 3-8 2-2 7 2 0 2 11 - -
James Harden * 35 13-21 7-14 12-14 17 9 3 0 45 - -
P.J. Tucker * 28 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 - -
Ben McLemore * 27 2-9 2-8 1-2 1 0 1 2 7 - -
Eric Gordon * 20 5-15 1-9 2-2 4 0 1 0 13 - -
Austin Rivers 31 1-9 1-5 0-0 9 3 2 0 3 - -
Jeff Green 30 5-12 0-4 4-4 3 1 0 1 14 - -
DeMarre Carroll 13 0-2 0-2 3-4 3 3 1 0 3 - -
Michael Frazier II 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Chris Clemons 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter