Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -11 (118-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 35 | 14-23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 22 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb * | 27 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 29 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 23 | 9-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Robinson III * | 37 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 35 | 13-21 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 25 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - | |
| Damion Lee * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss * | 21 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 25 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter