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2020-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% -
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% -
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% -
Log Adjusted 73.3% 26.7% -
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +7 (118-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 34 6-17 3-7 2-2 5 5 1 0 17 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 3-9 1-3 5-6 4 3 3 4 12 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 26 4-11 0-3 7-7 6 4 1 0 15 - -
Wesley Matthews * 19 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Ersan Ilyasova * 19 3-10 1-2 5-5 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Pat Connaughton 30 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 29 8-14 3-7 0-0 8 1 1 1 19 - -
Sterling Brown 22 5-9 1-3 3-3 8 1 0 0 14 - -
Marvin Williams 19 3-4 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Robin Lopez 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 38 16-19 1-2 2-2 7 1 4 0 35 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 35 6-13 1-5 4-4 5 13 0 0 17 - -
Myles Turner * 33 6-13 2-5 0-0 9 1 1 2 14 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 29 4-15 0-3 7-10 9 4 0 0 15 - -
Victor Oladipo * 28 5-7 1-2 2-3 3 4 0 0 13 - -
Jeremy Lamb 26 5-10 2-4 1-2 6 1 1 1 13 - -
Justin Holiday 24 1-3 1-3 3-3 1 2 2 0 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter