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2020-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% -
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% -
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% -
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -6 (102-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 36 10-14 1-1 3-6 12 3 1 0 24 - -
Myles Turner * 35 5-12 0-2 5-6 8 1 0 4 15 - -
Aaron Holiday * 33 2-6 0-2 5-6 3 4 2 1 9 - -
Victor Oladipo * 26 5-10 2-4 4-6 3 4 2 0 16 - -
Brian Bowen II * 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Holiday 25 3-7 2-5 1-1 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Edmond Sumner 24 5-11 2-5 0-0 3 5 0 1 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 5 - -
JaKarr Sampson 17 5-6 0-0 4-6 5 3 1 0 14 - -
Goga Bitadze 7 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 1 4 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaquille Harrison * 33 9-14 5-6 2-2 4 4 3 2 25 - -
Denzel Valentine * 27 6-17 1-7 0-0 6 2 2 0 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 26 2-4 0-1 4-4 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 26 2-8 0-3 2-2 7 8 1 0 6 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 22 1-10 0-5 1-2 5 0 1 1 3 - -
Coby White 37 10-21 3-10 3-3 2 6 1 0 26 - -
Thaddeus Young 25 3-10 0-5 0-0 7 3 4 1 6 - -
Daniel Gafford 19 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 7 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 18 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 8 - -
Cristiano Felicio 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter