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2020-02-08

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (117-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 38 7-12 1-5 0-0 5 7 1 0 15 - -
Jrue Holiday * 31 10-22 4-7 7-8 6 10 3 0 31 - -
Josh Hart * 29 3-9 3-7 0-0 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Derrick Favors * 24 6-8 0-0 3-4 11 2 0 0 15 - -
Nicolo Melli * 23 3-8 3-5 0-0 6 1 0 1 9 - -
JJ Redick 27 7-15 3-8 6-6 4 4 1 1 23 - -
E'Twaun Moore 22 3-8 0-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Frank Jackson 21 2-6 1-4 4-4 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Jahlil Okafor 10 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 1 2 0 4 - -
Jaxson Hayes 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 35 9-12 0-1 4-8 4 0 1 2 22 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 34 9-13 3-5 5-5 5 4 1 0 26 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 7-12 1-2 1-2 8 6 0 2 16 - -
Myles Turner * 32 2-4 1-3 5-6 8 4 0 5 10 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 30 6-14 2-4 3-3 8 6 0 0 17 - -
Justin Holiday 22 2-6 1-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 6 - -
Doug McDermott 16 4-9 1-5 0-1 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Holiday 7 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Edmond Sumner 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter