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2020-08-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% - βœ“
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.6 βœ“ (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - βœ—
Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 58.4% 41.6% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% - βœ—

Actual: Phoenix Suns +15 (114-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Holiday * 37 3-6 0-0 3-4 3 4 0 0 9 - -
T.J. Warren * 34 7-20 1-5 1-2 11 1 2 0 16 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 34 9-16 4-7 3-3 6 6 0 1 25 - -
Myles Turner * 32 7-12 1-4 2-2 8 2 1 3 17 - -
Victor Oladipo * 31 4-11 2-4 6-7 4 2 0 0 16 - -
Justin Holiday 27 1-7 1-6 0-0 1 3 3 0 3 - -
T.J. McConnell 13 4-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
JaKarr Sampson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
T.J. Leaf 2 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Naz Mitrou-Long 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Alize Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Johnson * 36 5-13 2-9 2-2 12 3 1 0 14 - -
Mikal Bridges * 34 5-9 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Deandre Ayton * 34 11-18 0-1 1-1 10 1 2 4 23 - -
Devin Booker * 29 6-12 1-5 7-7 3 10 0 0 20 - -
Ricky Rubio * 26 5-12 1-4 2-2 4 4 0 0 13 - -
Cameron Payne 21 6-9 3-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 15 - -
Jevon Carter 21 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 - -
Dario Šarić 20 4-9 1-2 7-8 8 1 0 0 16 - -
Frank Kaminsky 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Ty Jerome 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Cheick Diallo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter