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2020-08-01

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 66.8% 33.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (127-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 38 8-14 0-0 3-6 13 4 1 0 19 23 -
Tobias Harris * 36 12-29 3-8 3-3 8 0 1 1 30 11 -
Joel Embiid * 34 15-23 1-5 10-12 21 4 1 3 41 47 -
Josh Richardson * 29 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 4 3 -
Shake Milton * 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 -
Al Horford 22 4-9 1-1 1-1 6 2 0 1 10 10 -
Raul Neto 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 5 -
Furkan Korkmaz 14 0-4 0-4 3-3 1 2 0 0 3 2 -
Alec Burks 12 3-4 3-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 9 8 -
Matisse Thybulle 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 40 20-29 9-12 4-4 4 3 0 2 53 33 -
Justin Holiday * 37 2-9 1-5 1-2 2 2 3 0 6 4 -
Aaron Holiday * 34 5-10 1-3 4-5 5 10 1 0 15 21 -
Victor Oladipo * 31 6-14 2-6 1-2 7 2 1 0 15 11 -
Myles Turner * 19 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 9 8 -
JaKarr Sampson 19 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 7 -
Doug McDermott 17 4-7 0-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 10 6 -
T.J. McConnell 17 3-6 0-1 4-4 3 8 2 0 10 17 -
Edmond Sumner 12 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
T.J. Leaf 8 2-7 0-2 0-2 4 2 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter