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2019-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 10.0% 90.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 ✓ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - ✗
Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 68.5% 31.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 68.5% 31.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - ✗

Actual: Detroit Pistons +7 (108-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 35 1-8 0-3 2-3 3 2 2 4 4 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 7-17 0-1 4-6 13 5 1 1 18 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 33 4-10 2-5 2-2 5 4 2 0 12 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 32 7-14 2-4 5-6 5 5 1 0 21 - -
T.J. Warren * 29 11-18 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 26 - -
Justin Holiday 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 3 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Doug McDermott 15 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 40 9-17 0-1 7-9 22 1 3 2 25 - -
Blake Griffin * 31 7-17 3-7 8-12 3 5 2 1 25 - -
Luke Kennard * 31 5-8 2-3 3-3 1 4 0 0 15 - -
Tony Snell * 25 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Bruce Brown * 23 2-6 1-1 0-0 8 6 0 1 5 - -
Langston Galloway 28 2-8 1-7 0-0 2 0 1 1 5 - -
Derrick Rose 25 7-17 0-1 0-0 6 5 1 0 14 - -
Christian Wood 17 4-7 2-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 8 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Thon Maker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter