Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (111-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Warren * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 21 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 17 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 36 | 8-17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 24 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 26 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 23 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 20 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter