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2020-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 66.3% 33.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Log Adjusted 58.1% 41.9% -
Points Off/Def 51.5% 48.5% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -9 (106-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 40 6-14 3-7 5-5 3 7 2 0 20 - -
Serge Ibaka * 40 9-17 3-5 1-2 10 3 0 0 22 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 6-20 1-5 2-2 4 0 0 1 15 - -
OG Anunoby * 28 5-8 3-5 3-4 3 0 5 0 16 - -
Kyle Lowry * 28 6-11 3-7 1-1 1 11 1 0 16 - -
Terence Davis 25 7-11 3-6 0-1 8 2 2 1 17 - -
Patrick McCaw 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 1 6 - -
Chris Boucher 7 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 8-13 0-1 3-4 16 3 0 0 19 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 36 5-15 0-4 6-7 6 8 0 1 16 - -
Myles Turner * 28 2-8 1-4 3-3 8 1 0 1 8 - -
Victor Oladipo * 27 5-11 2-6 3-4 1 4 2 0 15 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 26 4-8 2-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Justin Holiday 25 5-7 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 3 12 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 5-8 0-1 2-2 6 7 2 0 12 - -
Doug McDermott 20 3-8 2-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Aaron Holiday 11 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter