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2020-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -
Efficiency 77.6% 22.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% -
Log Adjusted 73.6% 26.4% -
Points Off/Def 62.5% 37.5% -

Actual: New York Knicks -8 (98-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 37 8-16 0-0 8-10 13 3 1 1 24 - -
T.J. Warren * 36 10-21 2-5 5-5 8 3 2 1 27 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 34 4-14 0-5 3-4 8 6 1 0 11 - -
Myles Turner * 31 3-7 1-4 1-2 8 0 1 1 8 - -
Victor Oladipo * 25 3-8 1-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Justin Holiday 24 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 2 6 - -
Jeremy Lamb 22 1-8 0-3 4-6 5 3 2 0 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 13 4-6 2-3 4-4 0 0 0 0 14 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Ntilikina * 32 5-11 2-4 2-2 2 2 2 0 14 - -
Julius Randle * 29 2-9 0-1 3-6 7 4 1 0 7 - -
RJ Barrett * 26 8-19 0-5 1-3 4 2 0 0 17 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 18 2-4 2-2 3-4 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Taj Gibson * 15 3-4 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 1 8 - -
Bobby Portis 27 6-11 3-5 4-4 6 1 0 1 19 - -
Damyean Dotson 22 2-8 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 - -
Kevin Knox II 17 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 2 0 1 4 - -
Mitchell Robinson 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 4 8 - -
Maurice Harkless 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 15 1-6 1-2 0-0 0 6 2 0 3 - -

* = starter