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2020-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 74.0% 26.0% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% -
Points Off/Def 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +6 (106-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 40 7-15 4-8 2-4 5 0 1 0 20 - -
CJ McCollum * 38 11-27 3-12 3-3 3 8 0 0 28 - -
Trevor Ariza * 37 3-10 2-6 0-1 1 4 1 0 8 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 36 5-8 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 12 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 34 9-15 0-0 0-0 16 0 1 4 18 - -
Anfernee Simons 21 3-9 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Caleb Swanigan 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Nassir Little 11 0-1 0-1 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Warren * 38 6-13 1-2 2-2 5 0 2 1 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 38 7-20 1-3 2-3 6 8 1 0 17 - -
Myles Turner * 32 6-14 2-6 0-2 10 0 0 2 14 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 27 8-15 0-1 4-5 11 4 1 0 20 - -
Victor Oladipo * 25 5-9 1-4 4-5 7 2 1 0 15 - -
Justin Holiday 23 3-5 3-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 11 - -
T.J. McConnell 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Aaron Holiday 14 1-3 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Doug McDermott 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Goga Bitadze 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
JaKarr Sampson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter