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2020-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 80.7% 19.3% -
Bradley-Terry 58.4% 41.6% -
Margin 70.8% 29.2% -4.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% -
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (111-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 36 10-19 3-7 4-4 10 5 2 1 27 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 11-22 3-9 5-6 6 2 4 0 30 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 6-14 2-6 2-2 5 5 0 0 16 - -
Daniel Theis * 33 8-12 2-2 2-2 6 3 0 2 20 - -
Kemba Walker * 30 3-12 2-8 3-4 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Semi Ojeleye 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 20 1-2 0-0 3-3 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Enes Kanter 14 1-3 0-0 0-1 7 1 1 1 2 - -
Romeo Langford 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Grant Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 41 13-23 0-2 2-2 9 8 1 0 28 - -
Myles Turner * 36 7-11 1-3 1-2 8 1 1 4 16 - -
T.J. Warren * 34 9-18 1-2 3-3 5 0 0 0 22 - -
Aaron Holiday * 33 2-9 0-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 - -
Victor Oladipo * 28 9-16 5-7 4-4 7 4 1 1 27 - -
Justin Holiday 21 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 2 8 - -
Edmond Sumner 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 - -
T.J. McConnell 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 - -
JaKarr Sampson 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter