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2020-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 62.1% 37.9% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% -
Log Adjusted 76.6% 23.4% -
Points Off/Def 65.7% 34.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 41 8-13 0-1 2-4 13 9 2 1 18 - -
T.J. Warren * 36 14-20 2-4 0-0 3 6 1 0 30 - -
Myles Turner * 35 4-9 2-4 0-0 10 0 0 4 10 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 35 9-13 0-1 4-4 1 8 1 0 22 - -
Victor Oladipo * 28 7-15 2-5 3-4 3 1 3 0 19 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 3 - -
Justin Holiday 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 3 0 2 - -
Doug McDermott 10 3-6 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Goga Bitadze 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JaKarr Sampson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Love * 37 6-9 1-4 7-8 12 7 1 0 20 - -
Collin Sexton * 37 7-16 1-3 1-2 3 4 0 0 16 - -
Andre Drummond * 35 12-21 0-3 3-3 13 4 4 1 27 - -
Darius Garland * 29 5-13 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 10 - -
Cedi Osman * 22 3-6 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 34 5-13 2-6 2-2 2 3 1 2 14 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 25 1-4 0-1 3-3 1 3 3 0 5 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -

* = starter