Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +19 (119-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 32 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 29 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 18 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 18 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 7 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| TJ Leaf | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 28 | 10-23 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 25 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 23 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marvin Williams | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Frank Mason | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter