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2020-08-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% -
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% -
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% -
Efficiency 68.5% 31.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Log Adjusted 62.9% 37.1% -
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 13-24 2-6 3-6 8 7 0 1 31 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 3-14 0-4 2-2 8 4 2 2 8 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Alex Caruso * 27 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 5 3 0 5 - -
JaVale McGee * 13 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 2 0 5 - -
Kyle Kuzma 24 3-14 1-5 4-5 5 1 3 1 11 - -
Quinn Cook 23 8-14 5-9 0-0 1 0 0 0 21 - -
Dwight Howard 19 3-5 0-0 4-5 12 0 1 1 10 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 16 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 10 - -
Jared Dudley 12 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 39 8-13 4-6 4-4 5 6 1 0 24 - -
T.J. Warren * 36 15-22 5-8 4-4 5 1 0 0 39 - -
Victor Oladipo * 34 9-17 2-4 2-2 7 5 1 0 22 - -
Aaron Holiday * 34 3-3 1-1 0-0 6 7 3 1 7 - -
Myles Turner * 25 2-8 0-4 3-4 3 1 1 1 7 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 4 4 0 0 - -
Justin Holiday 15 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 - -
Doug McDermott 13 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Goga Bitadze 12 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 7 - -
JaKarr Sampson 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter