Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (42.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +46 (127-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Holiday * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 31 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 30 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 26 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| TJ Leaf | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Alize Johnson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 25 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 23 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 15 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Miller | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter