Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vučević * | 32 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 32 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| James Ennis III * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| D.J. Augustin * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 25 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 9-9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz | 23 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Warren * | 38 | 13-17 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 34 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter