Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -2.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -11 (100-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Warren * | 39 | 14-26 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 34 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 34 | 6-18 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Bonga * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 28 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith * | 21 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jerome Robinson | 28 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Shabazz Napier | 22 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter