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2020-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 20.3% 79.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% -
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% -
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +1 (119-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 37 4-7 1-2 6-8 11 10 0 0 15 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 33 10-14 4-7 0-0 6 6 0 0 24 - -
Victor Oladipo * 25 5-14 2-6 1-2 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Jeremy Lamb * 24 2-9 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Myles Turner * 23 3-6 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 2 6 - -
Justin Holiday 31 7-12 6-9 2-2 5 3 3 1 22 - -
Doug McDermott 22 6-10 4-7 3-3 4 0 0 0 19 - -
Aaron Holiday 21 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 4-4 0-0 1-1 4 4 0 1 9 - -
Goga Bitadze 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 39 7-18 1-4 10-11 9 5 3 0 25 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 4-10 2-5 0-0 3 7 3 0 10 - -
Kyle Lowry * 37 12-21 3-6 5-5 8 10 2 0 32 - -
Serge Ibaka * 33 13-21 2-7 2-2 7 3 1 0 30 - -
OG Anunoby * 27 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 27 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Patrick McCaw 15 1-2 1-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 7 2-3 0-1 3-4 2 0 0 0 7 - -

* = starter