Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (109-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 41 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 31 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 27 | 6-18 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 22 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Edmond Sumner | 19 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 38 | 3-17 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 11-21 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 15 | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 13-26 | 4-13 | 6-10 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 30 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Courtney Lee * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter