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Atlanta Hawks

Also known as: Atlanta Hawks
Program History

2009 Team Stats (77 games)

97.6
PPG
96.5
Opp
+1.1
Margin
45.7%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
73.4%
FT%
39.8
RPG
20.1
APG
12.2
TO
91.4
Est. poss./game
95.5
Adj PPG
94.5
Adj Opp PPG
#12
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 967 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1050 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 989 (#16) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +1.1 (#12) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More โ†’ -1.1 (#17) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.516 (#12) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.2 More โ†’ 0.505 (#13) NetEff +0.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.536 (#11) AdjNet +1.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.536 (#11) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 95.5 | AdjD 94.5 More โ†’ 0.524 (#12) AdjO 95.5 | AdjD 94.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 93.3 More โ†’ 0.473 (#17) AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 93.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.496 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.486 (#15) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 93 More โ†’ 1008 (#14) RD 148 | GP 93

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-10-29 @ Orlando Magic W 99 - 85
2008-11-01 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 95 - 88
2008-11-05 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 87 - 79
2008-11-07 vs Toronto Raptors W 110 - 92
2008-11-09 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 89 - 85
2008-11-11 @ Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2008-11-12 @ Boston Celtics L 102 - 103
2008-11-14 @ Brooklyn Nets L 108 - 115
2008-11-15 vs Brooklyn Nets L 107 - 119
2008-11-18 @ Indiana Pacers L 96 - 113
2008-11-19 vs Washington Wizards W 91 - 87
2008-11-21 vs Charlotte Hornets W 88 - 83
2008-11-22 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 96 - 110
2008-11-26 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 102 - 96
2008-11-28 @ Toronto Raptors L 88 - 93
2008-12-03 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 105 - 95
2008-12-05 vs New York Knicks W 98 - 95
2008-12-06 @ Dallas Mavericks L 98 - 100
2008-12-09 @ Houston Rockets L 84 - 92
2008-12-10 @ San Antonio Spurs L 89 - 95
2008-12-12 @ Miami Heat W 87 - 73
2008-12-13 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 97 - 92
2008-12-15 vs Charlotte Hornets W 83 - 79
2008-12-17 vs Boston Celtics L 85 - 88
2008-12-19 vs Golden State Warriors W 115 - 99
2008-12-21 vs Detroit Pistons W 85 - 78
2008-12-23 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 99 - 88
2008-12-27 vs Chicago Bulls W 129 - 117
2009-01-02 @ Brooklyn Nets L 91 - 93
2009-01-03 vs Houston Rockets W 103 - 100
2009-01-07 vs Orlando Magic L 102 - 106
2009-01-09 @ Orlando Magic L 87 - 121
2009-01-11 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 94 - 109
2009-01-13 @ Phoenix Suns L 102 - 107
2009-01-14 @ LA Clippers W 97 - 80
2009-01-16 @ Golden State Warriors L 114 - 119
2009-01-19 vs Toronto Raptors W 87 - 84
2009-01-20 @ Chicago Bulls W 105 - 102
2009-01-23 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 117 - 87
2009-01-25 vs Phoenix Suns L 99 - 104
2009-01-26 @ Miami Heat L 79 - 95
2009-01-28 @ New York Knicks L 104 - 112
2009-01-30 vs Brooklyn Nets W 105 - 88
2009-01-31 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 107 - 110
2009-02-04 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 94 - 86
2009-02-06 @ Charlotte Hornets W 102 - 97
2009-02-07 vs LA Clippers L 97 - 121
2009-02-10 vs Washington Wizards W 111 - 90
2009-02-11 @ Detroit Pistons W 99 - 95
2009-02-17 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 83 - 96
2009-02-18 @ Sacramento Kings W 105 - 100
2009-02-20 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 98 - 108
2009-02-23 @ Utah Jazz L 89 - 108
2009-02-25 @ Denver Nuggets L 109 - 110
2009-02-27 vs Miami Heat W 91 - 83
2009-03-01 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 87 - 88
2009-03-02 @ Washington Wizards W 98 - 89
2009-03-04 @ New York Knicks L 105 - 109
2009-03-06 @ Charlotte Hornets L 91 - 98
2009-03-07 vs Detroit Pistons W 87 - 83
2009-03-09 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 89 - 79
2009-03-11 vs Utah Jazz W 100 - 93
2009-03-13 vs Indiana Pacers W 101 - 87
2009-03-15 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 98 - 80
2009-03-17 vs Sacramento Kings W 119 - 97
2009-03-21 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 96 - 102
2009-03-23 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 109 - 97
2009-03-25 vs San Antonio Spurs L 92 - 102
2009-03-27 vs Boston Celtics L 93 - 99
2009-03-29 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 86 - 76
2009-03-31 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 85 - 98
2009-04-03 @ Boston Celtics L 92 - 104
2009-04-04 vs Orlando Magic L 82 - 88
2009-04-07 @ Toronto Raptors W 118 - 110
2009-04-08 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 113 - 105
2009-04-10 vs Indiana Pacers W 122 - 118
2009-04-14 vs Miami Heat W 81 - 79
2009-04-15 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 90 - 98
2009-04-19 vs Miami Heat W 90 - 64
2009-04-22 vs Miami Heat L 93 - 108
2009-04-25 @ Miami Heat L 78 - 107
2009-04-27 @ Miami Heat W 81 - 71
2009-04-29 vs Miami Heat W 106 - 91
2009-05-01 @ Miami Heat L 72 - 98
2009-05-03 vs Miami Heat W 91 - 78
2009-05-05 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 72 - 99
2009-05-07 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 85 - 105
2009-05-09 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 82 - 97
2009-05-11 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 74 - 84

2009 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Joe Johnson G 74 39.4 21.3 4.3 5.8 1.1 0.3 2.6 17.9 12.3 - - - - 44.0 35.9 82.0 - 53.7 49.3
Josh Smith G 66 34.9 15.5 7.2 2.4 1.4 1.6 2.2 12.4 13.5 - - - - 49.2 31.7 58.3 - 53.1 50.8
Mike Bibby G 74 34.5 14.7 3.5 4.9 1.3 0.1 1.6 12.6 10.2 - - - - 43.2 38.9 77.8 - 54.1 51.4
Marvin Williams G 57 34.4 14.0 6.4 1.3 0.9 0.7 1.2 10.3 11.8 - - - - 46.1 35.1 80.1 - 57.0 50.5
Flip Murray G 75 24.9 12.3 2.1 2.0 1.1 0.2 1.6 10.1 6.1 - - - - 44.3 36.0 75.9 - 53.9 49.7
Al Horford Al Horford G 62 33.1 11.1 9.1 2.3 0.8 1.3 1.5 8.7 14.4 - - - - 51.9 0.0 74.1 - 55.9 51.9
Maurice Evans G 75 22.8 6.9 2.9 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.6 5.9 4.9 - - - - 42.6 38.2 83.8 - 55.1 52.4
Zaza Pachulia Zaza Pachulia G 73 19.1 6.1 5.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 1.2 4.2 8.0 - - - - 48.8 0.0 70.0 - 56.2 48.8
Acie Law G 51 10.5 3.2 1.1 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.5 2.7 3.0 - - - - 38.0 31.0 81.7 - 49.6 41.2
Solomon Jones G 60 10.9 3.1 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.8 4.0 - - - - 60.6 50.0 70.8 - 65.4 61.0
Speedy Claxton F 2 7.5 2.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.5 - - - - 28.6 0 50.0 - 31.7 28.6
Thomas Gardner F 16 6.1 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.2 -0.1 - - - - 25.0 17.4 50.0 - 31.8 30.6
Othello Hunter G 15 6.0 1.5 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.3 2.1 - - - - 55.0 0 0.0 - 49.5 55.0
Mario West G 49 5.3 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 - - - - 41.2 100.0 46.7 - 45.6 42.6
Randolph Morris F 23 3.8 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 - - - - 41.2 0 100.0 - 48.0 41.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG