Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.2 | ✓ (22.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✓ (25.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +34 (121-87). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flip Murray * | 27 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Acie Law * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Al Horford * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 22 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 22 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 21 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 20 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Mario West | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Othello Hunter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 24 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 24 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 20 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Richardson * | 14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Brian Cook * | 12 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter