Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +13 (96-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 30 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Acie Law * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Al Horford * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mario West | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Thomas Gardner | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 31 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 27 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 25 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 17 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 17 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Josh Powell | 11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Adam Morrison | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Shannon Brown | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter