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2009-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Margin 40.6% 59.4% +2.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +13 (96-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marvin Williams * 35 3-9 1-3 3-5 3 2 2 2 1 10 9 -
Joe Johnson * 30 6-17 0-4 2-3 3 5 1 0 4 14 2 -
Mike Bibby * 27 4-10 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 3 -
Zaza Pachulia * 26 4-9 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 1 1 8 15 -
Josh Smith * 25 6-11 0-0 1-3 0 2 1 1 0 13 6 -
Acie Law * 23 2-9 0-1 3-3 3 1 0 0 1 7 1 -
Al Horford * 22 2-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 3 0 1 6 10 -
Maurice Evans * 18 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
Solomon Jones * 16 3-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 1 7 6 -
Mario West 6 1-1 0-0 5-8 4 0 5 0 1 7 14 -
Thomas Gardner 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Randolph Morris 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lamar Odom * 33 6-11 1-3 2-4 20 5 2 2 2 15 31 -
Pau Gasol * 30 6-10 0-0 0-0 13 10 0 2 0 12 27 -
Kobe Bryant * 28 4-12 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 2 4 10 2 -
Derek Fisher * 25 6-10 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 14 7 -
Luke Walton * 23 4-8 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 8 4 -
Jordan Farmar * 19 5-8 0-1 0-2 6 2 0 0 2 10 8 -
Trevor Ariza * 19 4-10 0-2 2-2 5 2 1 1 1 10 8 -
Sasha Vujacic * 17 2-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 6 4 -
Chris Mihm * 17 2-10 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 3 4 0 -
Josh Powell 11 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 6 0 -
Adam Morrison 7 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
Shannon Brown 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter