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2009-05-07

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +20 (105-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zaza Pachulia * 35 2-6 0-0 3-4 12 0 1 1 3 7 12 -
Maurice Evans * 33 7-12 1-2 1-1 3 4 1 0 0 16 12 -
Joe Johnson * 30 5-15 0-3 0-2 3 1 2 0 3 10 -2 -
Mike Bibby * 29 3-8 2-4 3-3 1 1 1 0 1 11 5 -
Flip Murray * 27 2-5 1-2 3-4 1 3 1 1 3 8 6 -
Josh Smith * 22 2-13 0-0 4-4 1 3 1 1 2 8 -1 -
Solomon Jones * 21 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Thomas Gardner * 15 4-11 3-5 1-1 2 2 1 0 0 12 6 -
Mario West * 6 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Othello Hunter 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 7 -
Acie Law 7 3-6 1-2 1-1 2 3 0 0 0 8 7 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mo Williams * 32 5-11 3-8 2-3 5 5 0 0 2 15 12 -
LeBron James * 31 9-14 3-5 6-12 3 5 4 1 0 27 26 -
Anderson Varejao * 28 6-9 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 4 2 12 17 -
Delonte West * 28 5-10 0-1 4-4 3 2 0 0 4 14 5 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 26 3-6 0-1 0-0 7 2 0 2 2 6 9 -
Wally Szczerbiak * 21 7-9 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 1 3 17 9 -
Joe Smith * 19 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 2 1 4 7 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
Daniel Gibson * 14 0-3 0-2 4-4 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
Darnell Jackson * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Ben Wallace * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 6 -
Tarence Kinsey 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter