Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +6 (95-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 33 | 13-20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Acie Law * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| George Hill | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ime Udoka | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter