Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -10 (92-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 39 | 18-25 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 29 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 38 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 38 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 24 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 14 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 13-23 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 9 | - |
| Al Horford * | 41 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 40 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 28 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 22 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Mario West * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter