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2009-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% -4.1 โœ“ (12.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 78.0% 22.0% - โœ“
Margin 75.6% 24.4% -6.2 โœ“ (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.6% 21.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 64.1% 35.9% - โœ“

Actual: LA Clippers -17 (80-97). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 40 8-17 1-5 4-6 4 7 1 0 1 21 15 -
Marvin Williams * 38 4-9 1-2 2-2 6 3 0 2 2 11 11 -
Josh Smith * 38 10-15 0-0 6-8 8 0 3 1 4 26 19 -
Flip Murray * 31 6-9 3-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 17 13 -
Mike Bibby * 31 3-10 1-4 3-4 5 5 1 2 0 10 13 -
Zaza Pachulia * 21 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 3 1 1 3 11 -
Solomon Jones * 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Acie Law * 8 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
Maurice Evans * 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Mario West 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Othello Hunter 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Thornton * 42 9-16 0-1 7-9 9 1 0 2 0 25 21 -
Eric Gordon * 41 6-15 1-4 5-6 2 3 0 1 3 18 6 -
Marcus Camby * 40 5-13 0-0 2-4 18 0 2 4 6 12 17 -
Mardy Collins * 35 7-13 1-2 0-0 3 8 3 0 2 15 14 -
Fred Jones * 25 3-5 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 4 8 3 -
Brian Skinner * 24 0-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ricky Davis * 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
DeAndre Jordan * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 5 -
Steve Novak 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
Cheikh Samb 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter