Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 37 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 35 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 43 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Al Horford * | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 36 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Acie Law | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter