Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (103-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 43 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 40 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 39 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Luther Head * | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 13-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Acie Law * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter