Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (88-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 39 | 9-20 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 34 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Adam Morrison | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean May | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 11-11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 34 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Acie Law * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter