Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -8 (105-113). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 39 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 10-14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Al Horford * | 39 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 39 | 10-18 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Mario West * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Gardner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 8-11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 31 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Joe Alexander * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter