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2009-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Margin 45.1% 54.9% +1.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +4 (122-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Jack * 40 7-17 3-5 0-0 4 7 1 0 5 17 7 -
Troy Murphy * 38 7-11 3-5 4-4 10 4 0 0 2 21 22 -
Danny Granger * 38 12-22 4-11 7-11 4 0 3 1 0 35 21 -
Brandon Rush * 35 4-7 0-1 2-2 7 1 1 1 1 10 12 -
T.J. Ford * 29 5-9 0-1 2-2 4 4 3 0 4 12 10 -
Roy Hibbert * 25 4-13 0-0 8-9 8 2 0 0 0 16 13 -
Jeff Foster * 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 2 2 -
Stephen Graham * 10 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 1 0 5 6 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Bibby * 45 6-14 3-4 0-0 4 9 1 0 0 15 15 -
Al Horford * 41 8-12 0-0 6-7 15 5 2 1 3 22 30 -
Josh Smith * 37 10-19 0-2 10-16 10 4 3 2 3 30 27 -
Joe Johnson * 37 8-15 5-8 3-3 4 4 2 0 1 24 18 -
Flip Murray * 32 4-9 0-3 7-9 3 2 0 0 1 15 10 -
Mario West * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 1 -
Solomon Jones * 10 2-2 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 1 1 7 7 -
Zaza Pachulia * 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Marvin Williams 11 1-3 0-2 3-4 0 1 0 1 0 5 4 -
Thomas Gardner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter