Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +3 (110-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 8-23 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 40 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 27 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Acie Law | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Sessions * | 45 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 41 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 40 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 24 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter