Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -4 (95-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 38 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 37 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 28 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Iverson * | 39 | 11-20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 30 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter