Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 5-18 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 44 | 12-21 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mario West * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Gardner | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
* = starter