Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | -3.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -6 (82-88). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 40 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 42 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 35 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 44 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 44 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 41 | 6-20 | 1-8 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Al Horford * | 38 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mario West | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter