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2009-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (102-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 42 8-13 2-3 6-7 1 4 0 0 5 24 11 -
Mike Bibby * 38 6-15 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 14 4 -
Maurice Evans * 37 5-12 3-6 2-2 6 0 2 0 0 15 11 -
Al Horford * 37 3-6 0-0 0-1 11 6 0 0 0 6 17 -
Josh Smith * 32 3-10 0-1 3-5 8 4 2 2 1 9 14 -
Flip Murray * 22 7-16 2-6 6-7 2 1 1 2 5 22 7 -
Zaza Pachulia * 18 1-5 0-0 4-7 4 1 3 0 1 6 8 -
Mario West 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Thomas Gardner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Othello Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Randolph Morris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Solomon Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 40 9-21 1-4 3-5 7 5 3 1 2 22 15 -
Delonte West * 34 3-9 1-2 0-0 4 3 3 0 0 7 8 -
Mo Williams * 32 8-14 3-4 5-5 2 7 0 0 1 24 18 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 25 6-11 0-1 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 16 10 -
Anderson Varejao * 24 1-3 0-0 4-6 8 1 1 0 3 6 10 -
Joe Smith * 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 8 8 -
Daniel Gibson * 22 3-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
Darnell Jackson * 17 2-3 0-0 0-1 8 1 0 0 2 4 8 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 15 1-5 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
JJ Hickson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Tarence Kinsey 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter